Bet Strategy · PreRace1
Accum-payout lock on PreRace1 lightgbm_ranker (fs 18100–18800): among combos with cum ret > 1 through meeting t, take top 10 by accum payout, then lock the max same-night payout combo. Score that locked combo on t+1 and t+2. Stake: Win=$10/race; QP/Q=$10×C(tf,2)/race. Money-weighted returns use rank-1 Win odds as the race-level odds proxy for filter rules.
Four live locks for upcoming meetings. Prefer live rows from predictions_param.csv when present; otherwise the hardcoded playbook.
| Venue | Pool | Horizon | Rule | n | Stake | Payout | Mean ret | ROI % | Nights | Nights >1 % |
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Horizon + Rule pick which overnight slice to show (n / stake / payout / ret / hits). Identity columns stay fixed.
| Venue | Pool | t | Score date | fs | Selector | tf | t ret | n | Stake | Payout | Ret | Hits | Hits Details |
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